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market WRAP-UP

After four straight deep negative sessions the week ended with a small positive step as the huge rallies worldwide didn’t seem to create enthusiasm on the local market. Still the indices recovered a bit as SOFIX closed at 853.75 (+1.72%), BG40 gained 2.17% to 206.86 bps and BGTR30 advanced 1.24% to 567.07 bps. Among the most actively traded were Sopharma (3JR, BGN 3.122, +2.19%) and Monbat (5MB, BGN 9.95, +4.74%) where 103k and 109k changed hands respectively. The others to support the indices were Elana Agricultural Land REIT (4EC, BGN 1.70, +6.18%) and Chimimport (6C4) which partially offset the loss from Thursday, moving 5.90% up to BGN 6.10 with more than 59k traded. We witnessed some negative moves as Sparky Eltos (SL9, BGN 6.00, -7.69%) crashed with only 4k traded and Orgachim (5ORG) lost 2.23% to BGN 135.90 with only 454 shares traded.

Sofix BG 40 BGREIT BGTR30
Value 853.75 206.86 81.85 567.07
1-day change (%) 1.72 2.17 1.12 1.24
7-day change (%) -10.99 -11.69 -2.71 -9.81
90-day change (%) -28.53 -35.49 -14.32 -29.12
365-day change (%) -51.08 -57.73 -18.15 -43.29


Note: BG REIT and BG TR30 started 31 August 2007

BSE Daily Volume 1 210 386
BSE Daily Turnover 5 333 841
Average Daily Turnover YTD 11 407 771
Average Daily Turnover 12 months 19 288 503


Most recent macro data

Inflation (HICP, M/M August) -0.1%
Inflation (HICP, cum. 2008) 7.1%
LEONIA Reference Rate 5.49%
SOFIBOR /3 months/ 7.332
GDP Growth (Y/Y Q2 2008 preliminary) 7.1%
Unemployment (August 2008) 5.89%


exchange rates

Current Change
BGN/USD 1.37386 0.0252
BGN/EUR 1.95583 Fixed
EUR/USD 1.4236 -0.0266


DAILY TRADING (selected stocks)
All figures in BGN (BGN/EUR rate fixed at 1.95583)
Compensatory Instruments (table)

ECONOMY AND POLITICS

Macroeconomic news and statistics

Unemployment rate continues to decrease in August, down to 5.89%

The unemployment rate in Bulgaria was 5.89% in August compared to 5.96% in July, as announced by the Bulgarian Employment Agency. The Labour Bureaus in Bulgaria have under record a total of 218 303 unemployed individuals in August 2008, which is 1.2% less compared to July, the Ministry of Labor and Social Policy announced.
Compared with August 2007 the number of unemployed individuals in the country has gone down by 41 007 or 15.8% YoY.
Source: Novinite.com

CORPORATE news

First Investment Bank [5F4]

Fitch lowers FIB’s outlook to negative
Fitch Ratings revised First Investment Bank (FIB)'s outlook to negative from stable and affirmed its ratings at Long-term Issuer Default (IDR) 'BB-' (BB minus), Short-term IDR 'B', Individual 'D', Support '5' and Support rating Floor 'No Floor'.
The outlook change reflects the challenges that FIB is facing in the current market environment in terms of attracting new long-term funding and capital at an acceptable cost and refinancing its existing obligations in full. As a result, FIB's prospects in terms of both profitability and market share could well be negatively impacted.
FIB's ratings reflect the bank's good franchise, diversified customer deposit base, acceptable risk management framework and solid fee income. Additionally, asset quality ratios remain acceptable and market risk is limited.
In related news BSE announced that as of 30 September 2008 FIB shares will be moved to BSE Official market of Equities Segment B, from currently traded at Unofficial market of Equities Segment A.
Source: Dnevnik; Investor.bg; FFBH

*****

To view the original document, please click on the link below:

http://reports.aiidatapro.com/BBB/FFBH/BMU23-09-08.pdf

*****

Copyright: 2006 First Financial Brokerage House. All rights reserved.For further Information please contact
FFBH, 2 Enos Str., 1408 Sofia, Bulgaria, Phone: +359 2 810 64 21, fax: +359 2 810 64 01, e-mail: ffbh@ffbh.bg, web site: http://www.ffbh.bg

*****

AII Data Processing does not endorse in any way, the views, opinions or recommendations expressed above. The use of the Information is subject to the terms and conditions as published by the original source, which you have to read and accept in full prior to the execution of any actions taken in reliance on Information contained herein.

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