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market WRAP-UP

The negative trend continued on Tuesday. The indices made another step back as the sellers prevailed again. SOFIX declined 1.98% to 456.73, BG40 dropped 2.31% to 139.11, while the BG TR30 lost 2.30% to 346.99. The BG REIT index was the only one to end the day green at 53.15 bps (+0.13%). BSE's total turnover was low again and came to only BGN 2.16m. The day loser was Lead and Zink Complex (5OTZ, BGN 9.50, -17.31%) with 4,631 shares. Other bigger decliners were Neohim (3NB, BGN 58.10, -7.94%), Sparky Eltos (SL9, BGN 3.65, -7.12%), Synergon Holding (6S7, BGN 2.75, -5.17%) and Chimimport (6C4, BGN 2.82, -4.47%). Infrastructure companies also decreased: Moststroy's stock depreciated by 4.63% to BGN 6.39 per share. Holding Roads shed 4.41% to BGN 3.90 per share, while Trace Group Hold lost 2.08% ending the day at BGN 47 per share.

Sofix BG 40 BGREIT BGTR30
Value 456.73 139.11 53.15 346.99
1-day change (%) -1.98 -2.31 0.13 -2.30
7-day change (%) -4.91 -4.31 -3.61 -3.05
90-day change (%) -55.83 -45.95 -39.98 -48.75
365-day change (%) -74.19 -74.48 -46.85 -65.30

 

Note: BG REIT and BG TR30 started 31 August 2007

BSE Daily Volume (shares) 410 366
BSE Daily Volume (BGN) 2 160 304
Avg Daily Turnover YTD (BGN) 10 440 238
Avg Daily Turnover 12 mo. (BGN) 16 501 784

 

Most recent macro data

Inflation (HICP, M/M Sep) 0.9%
Inflation (HICP, cum. 2008) 8.0%
LEONIA Reference Rate 5.61%
SOFIBOR /3 months/ 7.825%
GDP Growth (Y/Y H1 2008) 7.1%
Unemployment (Sep 2008) 5.8%

 

exchange rates

Current Change
BGN/USD 1.53435 0.01714
BGN/EUR 1.95583 Fixed
EUR/USD 1.2747 -0.0144

 

Sofix/ BG 40 / BGREIT / BGTR30 (charts)
DAILY TRADING (selected stocks)
All figures in BGN (BGN/EUR rate fixed at 1.95583)
Compensatory Instruments (table)

ECONOMY AND POLITICS

Macroeconomic news and statistics

Bulgaria’s Finance Minister: Unemployment rate might go up in 2009

Bulgaria's Finance Minister Plamen Oresharski stated on Tuesday that one of the risks that the government had tried to prepare for in the 2009 draft state budget was the possibility that the unemployment in the country might increase. Oresharski explained that Bulgaria was facing a risk of decreased domestic demand and decreased economic growth which could lead to a rise in the unemployment level.
That was why 1% of all state social security payments would be directed to the Unemployment Fund. Oresharski also predicted that foreign direct investments in Bulgaria would decrease in 2009. Source: Novinite.com

CORPORATE news

Kremikovtzi AD [4KW]

Wartime reserves are buying Kremikovtzi steel

Bulgaria’s wartime reservehas started to buy out the last quantities of steel produced by Kremikovtzi, said Vasil Yanachkov, leader of the Confederation of the Independent Syndicates in Bulgaria trade union at the plant.
The measure was approved by the Council of Ministers last week to raise cash for the workers’ delayed August and September wages after Ukrainian Vorskla Steel exited the tolling agreement with the mill over worsening market conditions. The wages should be paid at several goes, said a high-ranking Kremikovtzi official. The sold production is expected to bring in some BGN 24m of which BGN 11m should be spent for salaries.
Source: Dnevnik

*****

To view the original document, please click on the link below:

http://reports.aiidatapro.com/BBB/FFBH/BMU12-11-08.pdf

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Copyright: 2006 First Financial Brokerage House. All rights reserved.For further Information please contact
FFBH, 2 Enos Str., 1408 Sofia, Bulgaria, Phone: +359 2 810 64 21, fax: +359 2 810 64 01, e-mail: ffbh@ffbh.bg, web site: http://www.ffbh.bg

*****

AII Data Processing does not endorse in any way, the views, opinions or recommendations expressed above. The use of the Information is subject to the terms and conditions as published by the original source, which you have to read and accept in full prior to the execution of any actions taken in reliance on Information contained herein.

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